IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
LIU Brooklyn
Northeast
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.9	#225
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	76.7	#31
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.2	#200

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.7	#268

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	14.5%	18.8%	8.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.2	15.1	15.5

.500 or above	61.8%	73.4%	46.1%
.500 or above in Conference	74.8%	80.9%	66.6%
Conference Champion	17.8%	22.1%	12.0%
Last Place in Conference	3.5%	2.1%	5.4%

First Four	4.9%	5.4%	4.1%
First Round	12.2%	16.1%	6.9%
Second Round	0.5%	0.7%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Brown (Home) - 57.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.0 - 0.1	0.0 - 0.1
Quad 1b	0.0 - 0.3	0.0 - 0.3
Quad 2	0.2 - 0.9	0.2 - 1.2
Quad 3	2.0 - 4.4	2.2 - 5.6
Quad 4	13.7 - 7.5	15.9 - 13.1

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2018	207	Brown	L	81-82	57%
Nov 13, 2018	220	@ Fairfield	L	77-78	39%
Nov 18, 2018	137	@ San Francisco	L	70-76	21%
Nov 20, 2018	261	@ Wisconsin-Milwaukee	W	73-71	46%
Nov 24, 2018	228	NJIT	W	75-74	61%
Nov 29, 2018	278	Albany	W	74-72	59%
Nov 30, 2018	274	Marist	W	81-79	57%
Dec 08, 2018	178	@ St. Peter's	L	65-68	30%
Dec 12, 2018	222	@ Stony Brook	L	73-74	40%
Dec 21, 2018	269	Binghamton	W	74-72	67%
Dec 30, 2018	267	@ Fordham	W	72-70	47%
Jan 03, 2019	324	@ Sacred Heart	W	79-73	61%
Jan 05, 2019	315	@ Bryant	W	84-79	58%
Jan 10, 2019	160	St. Francis (PA)	L	77-81	46%
Jan 12, 2019	233	Robert Morris	W	75-74	61%
Jan 19, 2019	252	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	81-80	64%
Jan 21, 2019	318	St. Francis Brooklyn	W	80-74	76%
Jan 24, 2019	331	@ Mount St. Mary's	W	76-68	65%
Jan 26, 2019	313	@ Central Connecticut St.	W	75-70	56%
Jan 31, 2019	252	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	W	81-80	45%
Feb 02, 2019	215	@ Wagner	L	73-74	38%
Feb 07, 2019	331	Mount St. Mary's	W	76-68	81%
Feb 09, 2019	215	Wagner	L	73-74	58%
Feb 14, 2019	318	@ St. Francis Brooklyn	W	80-74	57%
Feb 16, 2019	324	Sacred Heart	W	79-73	79%
Feb 21, 2019	233	@ Robert Morris	W	75-74	42%
Feb 23, 2019	160	@ St. Francis (PA)	L	77-81	28%
Feb 28, 2019	313	Central Connecticut St.	W	75-70	75%
Mar 02, 2019	315	Bryant	W	84-79	76%
Projected Record						15.9 - 13.1	10.7 - 7.3

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.1	0.7	2.6	4.2	4.1	3.7	2.0	0.5		17.8	1st
2nd										0.0	0.1	1.4	4.1	5.3	3.7	1.3	0.2				16.1	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.2	2.0	5.5	5.1	2.2	0.4	0.0					15.3	3rd
4th								0.0	0.3	2.5	5.3	4.4	1.0	0.2							13.7	4th
5th							0.0	0.2	2.1	4.6	3.5	0.6	0.1								11.1	5th
6th							0.1	1.7	4.0	2.6	0.4	0.0									8.9	6th
7th					0.0	0.2	1.6	3.0	2.0	0.3	0.0										7.2	7th
8th			0.0	0.0	0.2	1.2	1.9	1.3	0.2	0.0											4.8	8th
9th			0.0	0.3	0.8	1.2	0.6	0.1													3.1	9th
10th	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.5	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0													2.0	10th

Total	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.9	1.7	2.8	4.4	6.3	8.6	10.2	11.4	12.0	11.0	10.4	8.2	5.4	3.9	2.0	0.5			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.5		0.5
17-1	100.0%	2.0		1.9	0.1
16-2	95.3%	3.7		3.4	0.3
15-3	76.7%	4.1		3.0	1.0	0.1
14-4	50.8%	4.2		2.1	1.7	0.3	0.0
13-5	25.3%	2.6		0.7	1.3	0.6	0.1	0.0
12-6	6.3%	0.7		0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.5%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.1%	0.0						0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	17.8%	17.8		11.6	4.7	1.3	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.5%		77.1%	77.0%	0.1%	12.9					0.0		0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.1		0.5%
17-1	2.0%		65.0%	65.0%		13.8												0.1	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.7
16-2	3.9%		48.1%	47.7%	0.3%	14.4												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.7	0.3	2.0		0.7%
15-3	5.4%		39.4%	39.4%		14.9													0.0	0.2	0.4	0.8	0.7	3.3
14-4	8.2%		31.7%	31.7%		15.4													0.0	0.0	0.3	0.8	1.4	5.6
13-5	10.4%		22.1%	22.1%		15.6														0.0	0.1	0.9	1.3	8.1
12-6	11.0%		15.3%	15.3%		15.8														0.0	0.0	0.2	1.4	9.3
11-7	12.0%		8.8%	8.8%		16.0															0.0	0.0	1.0	10.9
10-8	11.4%		5.0%	5.0%		16.0																0.0	0.6	10.8
9-9	10.2%		3.9%	3.9%		16.0																0.0	0.4	9.8
8-10	8.6%		2.0%	2.0%		16.0																	0.2	8.4
7-11	6.3%		1.7%	1.7%		16.0																	0.1	6.2
6-12	4.4%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.0	4.4
5-13	2.8%																							2.8
4-14	1.7%																							1.7
3-15	0.9%																							0.9
2-16	0.4%																							0.4
1-17	0.2%																							0.2
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		14.5%	14.5%	0.0%	15.2					0.0		0.0			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.8	2.1	3.8	7.5	85.5		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.0%	98.8%	8.0				31.3		2.4			32.5		32.5